Document Type : Original Article

Authors

• Hadi Soleimani moghadam ¹
• Saeed Hosseinabadi ²
• Zahra Ebrahimi ³

¹ , Assistant Professor of Geography & Urban Planning, Hakim Sabzevari University, Sabzevar, Iran

² Assistant Professor of Geography and Urban Planning,Bozorgmehr University of Qaenat, Qaen,Iran

³ Hakim Sabzevari University

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to evaluate the components of urban prosperity in the current situation and to identify the key factors affecting the future of urban prosperity in Qaen city. In order to evaluate the current situation, using the field method and the questionnaire tool, people's opinions were measured about various indicators of urban prosperity in 5 dimensions of productivity, infrastructure, quality of life, equity and participation, and environmental sustainability. In this regard, a sample size of 350 residents of this city was selected by simple random method. One-sample T method was used to analyze these data. The results showed that the urban prosperity of Qaen city is generally average. In terms of economic productivity, infrastructure and environmental sustainability are medium to high, and quality of life and participation are low. In the second part of the research, with the help of experts and using the method of cross-effects (structural) analysis in MICMAC software, the factors affecting urban prosperity were categorized and the key drivers influencing the future of urban prosperity in Qaen city were identified. In such a way that the prosperity variables were divided into 5 categories of influential, dependent, relay variables, independent variabels and regulator. Finally, the most influential variables were identified based on the sum of direct and indirect influence, which includes the following: The capacity to start new businesses, people's participation in city affairs, job opportunities, water supply system, city market capacity to respond to the city's needs, leisure time, household income, road quality, tourism facilities, school quality, job opportunities for women, access to the park, Public libraries, access to the Internet and transportation system, and housing affordability.

Highlights

The purpose of this research is to evaluate the components of urban prosperity in the current situation and to identify the key factors affecting the future of urban prosperity in Qaen city. In order to evaluate the current situation, using the field method and the questionnaire tool, people's opinions were measured about various indicators of urban prosperity in 5 dimensions of productivity, infrastructure, quality of life, equity and participation, and environmental sustainability. In this regard, a sample size of 350 residents of this city was selected by simple random method. One-sample T method was used to analyze these data. The results showed that the urban prosperity of Qaen city is generally average. In terms of economic productivity, infrastructure and environmental sustainability are medium to high, and quality of life and participation are low. In the second part of the research, with the help of experts and using the method of cross-effects (structural) analysis in MICMAC software, the factors affecting urban prosperity were categorized and the key drivers influencing the future of urban prosperity in Qaen city were identified. In such a way that the prosperity variables were divided into 5 categories of influential, dependent, relay variables, independent variabels and regulator. Finally, the most influential variables were identified based on the sum of direct and indirect influence, which includes the following: The capacity to start new businesses, people's participation in city affairs, job opportunities, water supply system, city market capacity to respond to the city's needs, leisure time, household income, road quality, tourism facilities, school quality, job opportunities for women, access to the park, Public libraries, access to the Internet and transportation system, and housing affordability.

Keywords

• Urban Prosperity
• Future Studies
• cross-effects analysis
• Qaen City

Main Subjects

• Geography and Urban Planning